Is the Bush doctrine the right doctrine?
"The impact of this unravelling of the Bush doctrine will be a disaster for the US.� Here is how I think�it�is likely play out:





The first iteration of the Bush doctrine will bog down.� The war will be more difficult to fight than anticipated.� Terrorist counter-attacks after the war is done will send US troops home in body bags.� The costs of the effort it in Iraq will balloon to rapidly eclipse what we spent in Vietnam.� The opposition to every US effort in the region will grow both internally and externally.

Bush will run out of time and loose the re-election.� As his father before him, Bush will loose the 2004 elections due to economic considerations.� This will spell the end of the Bush doctrine.

The new administration will find that it is now caught in a ME quagmire with few friends and several aggressive foes.� The new administration will slowly attempt to unwind the situation by pulling out US troops and support for the new Iraq.� There will also be an attempt to return to the multi-lateral track of terrorist containment with little success.� Iran and N. Korea, effectively inoculated against US attack will continue to develop nuclear weapons with impunity.� One day, in the next decade, one of those bombs will end up exploding on US soil.







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