29 March 2003

northern Iraq
According to the Independent, the Kurdish peshmergas are now within 3 km of Kirkuk. The Ansar al-Islam pocket on the border between the Kurdish autonomy and Iran ahs been destroyed. Newsday quotes US Envoy Zalmay Khalilzad as saying the Turks have agreed not to intervene in northern Iraq.

The consensus of most reportage is that the US military presence in the north is as much about stopping a Turkish/Kurdish (Turco-Kurdish?) confrontation than opening a new front. The coalition wants to use the Kurdish forces against the Saddam dictatorship, not having them involved in a standoff with Turkey.

I'm still working on a proper analysis of the way that the Bush administration's diplomatic failure with Turkey is shaping events.

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